FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Gray Woolen Robe

Armor · Cloth · item 2585 · vendor 6s 38c

no demand model yet
Floor15scheapest 15s
Median15sby quantity
Listed1818 listings
Sold / day8avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2423%29%29%29%29%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 24 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 67% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.506, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 67% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 4× Bolt of Woolen Cloth 4s 35c, 3× Fine Thread 94c, 1× Gray Dye 3s 99c

Materials 24s 21c → sells for 14s 25c: −9s 96c per craft

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