Stylish Blue Shirt
Armor · Miscellaneous · item 6384 · vendor 2s 50c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +10% to +30% | 7 | 29% | 64% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 10 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 50% of listed quantity across 2 postings (HHI 0.5, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 50% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 78c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 78c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 78c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 78c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 78c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 78c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 78c | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Tailoring: 4× 
Bolt of Woolen Cloth 4s 35c, 2× 
Blue Dye 49c, 1× 
Gray Dye 3s 99c, 1× 
Fine Thread 94c
Materials 23s 31c → sells for 3s 59c: −19s 72c per craft
Can craft it: Shermoond
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