Trade Goods · Other · item 6260 · vendor 12c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 11 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| over +30% | 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 16 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 21% of listed quantity across 20 postings (HHI 0.109, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 59% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Suede Hat Leatherworking | 4 | 1g 31s |
| 1 | 5s 66c | |
| 2 | 2s 96c | |
| 2 | 2s 30c | |
| 1 | 54c | |
| 1 | −34c | |
| 2 | −5s 15c | |
| 2 | −9s 66c | |
| 2 | −19s 72c | |
| 2 | −22s 76c | |
| 4 | −25s 70c | |
| 2 | −26s 69c | |
| 2 | −29s 26c | |
| Blue Suede Shoulders Leatherworking | 2 | −42s 67c |
| Blue Suede Shoes Leatherworking | 1 | −81s 64c |
| Blue Suede Gloves Leatherworking | 1 | −1g |
| 2 | – | |
| Invoker's Mantle Tailoring | 4 | – |
| Blue Suede Bracers Leatherworking | 1 | – |
| Blue Suede Belt Leatherworking | 2 | – |
| Blue Suede Armor Leatherworking | 4 | – |
| Blue Suede Pants Leatherworking | 3 | – |
| Azure Gustwoven Hood Leatherworking | 4 | – |
| Azure Gustwoven Spaulders Leatherworking | 3 | – |
| Azure Windraveled Cover Leatherworking | 4 | – |
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