FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Blue Linen Vest

Armor · Cloth · item 6240 · vendor 1s 61c

no demand model yet
Floor2scheapest 2s
Median2sby quantity
Listed4242 listings
Sold / day7avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1921%21%21%21%21%
over +30%90%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 28 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 43% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.249, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 55% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s8s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s8s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s8s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s10s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s8s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s10s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s8s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s9s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s10s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 3× Bolt of Linen Cloth 48c, 1× Coarse Thread 13c, 1× Blue Dye 49c

Materials 2s 6c → sells for 1s 90c: −16c per craft

Can craft it: David, Zolon

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