Coarse Thread
Trade Goods · Cloth · item 2320 · vendor 2c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 19 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| +10% to +30% | 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 32 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 61% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.426, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 81% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 12c | 15c | 12 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Cloudy Stormsewn Cuffs Tailoring | 3 | 88s 27c |
| Azure Stormsewn Cord Tailoring | 3 | 88s 24c |
| Cloudy Stormsewn Shoes Tailoring | 3 | 82s 95c |
| Azure Stormsewn Cuffs Tailoring | 3 | 73s 99c |
| Azure Gustwoven Trousers Leatherworking | 2 | 51s 49c |
| Azure Stormsewn Leggings Tailoring | 2 | 45s 46c |
| Azure Gustwoven Bracers Leatherworking | 3 | 44s 11c |
| Azure Gustwoven Belt Leatherworking | 3 | 43s 36c |
| Azure Windraveled Strap Leatherworking | 3 | 43s 36c |
| Azure Stormsewn Vest Tailoring | 2 | 39s 36c |
| Cloudy Windraveled Pants Leatherworking | 2 | 37s 24c |
| Azure Windraveled Pants Leatherworking | 2 | 32s 49c |
| Azure Stormsewn Handwraps Tailoring | 4 | 31s 28c |
| Cloudy Gustwoven Harness Leatherworking | 2 | 31s 23c |
| Cloudy Gustwoven Trousers Leatherworking | 2 | 27s 74c |
| Azure Windraveled Jerkin Leatherworking | 2 | 26s 49c |
| Cloudy Stormsewn Leggings Tailoring | 2 | 25s 54c |
| Cloudy Gustwoven Belt Leatherworking | 3 | 24s 36c |
| Cloudy Gustwoven Boots Leatherworking | 3 | 23s 61c |
| Cloudy Windraveled Mitts Leatherworking | 4 | 23s 48c |
| Azure Gustwoven Boots Leatherworking | 3 | 21s 71c |
| Cloudy Gustwoven Bracers Leatherworking | 3 | 20s 36c |
| Cloudy Gustwoven Gloves Leatherworking | 4 | 19s 68c |
| Azure Gustwoven Gloves Leatherworking | 4 | 18s 73c |
| Azure Windraveled Mitts Leatherworking | 4 | 18s 73c |
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