Armor · Cloth · item 4324 · vendor 18s 74c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 25 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 26 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 38% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.206, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 52% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 5×
Bolt of Silk Cloth 8s 30c, 4×
Blue Dye 49c
Materials 43s 46c → sells for 17s 76c: −25s 70c per craft
Can craft it: Ezrealith
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