FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Azure Silk Vest

Armor · Cloth · item 4324 · vendor 18s 74c

no demand model yet
Floor18s 70ccheapest 18s 70c
Median18s 70cby quantity
Listed8282 listings
Sold / day2avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor258%8%8%8%8%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 26 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 38% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.206, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 52% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 5× Bolt of Silk Cloth 8s 30c, 4× Blue Dye 49c

Materials 43s 46c → sells for 17s 76c: −25s 70c per craft

Can craft it: Ezrealith

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