Armor · Mail · item 3484 · vendor 17s 67c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 20 | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 20 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 55% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.369, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 56% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 4×
Iron Bar 2s 86c, 2×
Lesser Moonstone 6s 42c, 2×
Coarse Grinding Stone 1s 5c, 1×
Green Dye 1s 38c
Materials 27s 76c → sells for 26s 57c: −1s 19c per craft
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