FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Green Iron Helm

Armor · Mail · item 3836 · vendor 30s 53c

no demand model yet

Floor71s 97ccheapest 70s

Median71s 98cby quantity

Listed6262 listings

Sold / day33avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%over +30%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	46	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
floor to +10%	20	62%	62%	62%	62%	62%
over +30%	18	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 84 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 11 postings (HHI 0.193, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 43% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	47s	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	47s	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s 49c	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s 49c	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s 49c	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s 49c	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s 49c	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s	74s	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	44s	74s	1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Blacksmithing: 12× Iron Bar 2s 73c, 1× Citrine 9s 28c, 1× Green Dye 1s 35c

Materials 43s 39c → sells for 68s 37c: 24s 98c per craft