Big Black Mace
Weapon · Mace · item 7945 · vendor 1g 72s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 26 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 26 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 42% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.249, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 50% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 16× 
Mithril Bar 10s 65c, 1× 
Black Pearl 17s 10c, 4× 
Shadowgem 2s 64c, 1× 
Solid Grinding Stone 8s 90c, 2× 
Thick Leather 5s 90c
Materials 2g 18s → sells for 2g 30s: 12s 9c per craft
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