Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 7966 · vendor 2s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 134 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 134 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 18% of listed quantity across 35 postings (HHI 0.077, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 4×
Solid Stone 1s 71c
Materials 6s 84c → sells for 8s 12c: 1s 28c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18g 76s | |
| 4 | 14g 2s | |
| 6 | 10g 59s | |
| 2 | 9g 19s | |
| 2 | 3g 29s | |
| 1 | 2g 60s | |
| 1 | 2g 17s | |
| 1 | 1g 27s | |
| 1 | 1g 25s | |
| 1 | 1g 13s | |
| 1 | 31s 82c | |
| 1 | 24s 72c | |
| 1 | 17s 85c | |
| 1 | 4s 15c | |
| 1 | −2s 35c | |
| 1 | −2s 80c | |
| 1 | −8s 68c | |
| 1 | −11s 19c | |
| 1 | −13s 39c | |
| 4 | −28s 83c | |
| 3 | −39s 62c | |
| 1 | −40s 80c | |
| 1 | −85s 46c | |
| 8 | – | |
| 4 | – |
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