Mithril Warhammer
Weapon · Mace · item 250608 · vendor 43s 56c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 30 | 20% | 85% | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| over +30% | 8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 15 sales out of 38 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 46% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.355, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 45% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
| Sun 15 Nov 00:49 | 1g 25s | 1g 99s | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 12× 
Mithril Bar 10s 30c, 2× 
Citrine 9s 7c, 1× 
Solid Grinding Stone 7s 15c, 4× 
Heavy Leather 1s 92c
Materials 1g 56s → sells for 1g 89s: 33s 42c per craft
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