Dusky Belt
Armor · Leather · item 7387 · vendor 25s 87c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 48 | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 48 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 42% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.253, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 63% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 10× 
Heavy Leather 1s 97c, 2× 
Bolt of Silk Cloth 8s 44c, 2× 
Black Dye 10s 44c, 1× 
Iron Buckle 1s 35c
Materials 58s 81c → sells for 39s 89c: −18s 92c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Gnomish Harm Prevention Belt Engineering |
1 | 11s 35c |
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