Gnomish Harm Prevention Belt
Armor · Leather · item 10721 · vendor 33s 17c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 25 | 4% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 25 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.2, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 20% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Engineering: 1× Dusky Belt 35s 99c, 4× 
Mithril Bar 10s 9c, 2× 
Truesilver Bar 18s 84c, 1× 
Unstable Trigger 22s, 2× 
Aquamarine 12s 55c
Materials 1g 61s → sells for 1g 48s: −13s 4c per craft
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