Trade Goods · Other · item 2325 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 26 | 0% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 26 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 66% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.449, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 89% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1g 5s | |
| 1 | 33s 47c | |
| 2 | 26s 36c | |
| 1 | 1s 34c | |
| 1 | −15c | |
| 1 | −1s 63c | |
| 2 | −18s 92c | |
| 1 | −25s 57c | |
| 1 | −96s 73c | |
| 1 | −99s 54c | |
| 1 | – | |
| 3 | – | |
| 4 | – | |
| 1 | – |
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