FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Black Dye

Trade Goods · Other · item 2325 · vendor 2s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor10s 44ccheapest 10s 44c
Median10s 44cby quantity
Listed48228 listings
Sold / day47avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor260%22%22%22%22%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 26 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 66% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.449, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 89% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Wicked Leather Boots Leatherworking 1 1g 5s
Simple Black Dress Tailoring 1 33s 47c
Wicked Leather Belt Leatherworking 2 26s 36c
Black Silk Pack Tailoring 1 1s 34c
Black Swashbuckler's Shirt Tailoring 1 −15c
Dusky Leather Leggings Leatherworking 1 −1s 63c
Dusky Belt Leatherworking 2 −18s 92c
Dusky Bracers Leatherworking 1 −25s 57c
Wicked Leather Bracers Leatherworking 1 −96s 73c
Wicked Leather Gauntlets Leatherworking 1 −99s 54c
Wicked Leather Headband Leatherworking 1 –
Wicked Leather Pants Leatherworking 3 –
Wicked Leather Armor Leatherworking 4 –
Wicked Leather Shoulders Leatherworking 1 –

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