Mystic Rugged Armor Kit
Consumable · Permanent · item 252487
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 16 | 49% | 49% | 49% | 49% | 49% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 16 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 76% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.619, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 76% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 1× Rugged Armor Kit 45s, 2× 
Dream Dust 30s 98c, 2× 
Major Mana Potion 99s 66c, 1× 
Pristine Scale 62s 35c, 1× 
Fel Hide 2g 27s
Materials 5g 96s → sells for 7g 60s: 1g 63s per craft
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