FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.5 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

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Trade Goods · Leather · item 248824 · vendor 7s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor1g 83scheapest 1g 79s
Median2g 12sby quantity
Listed13069 listings
Sold / day26avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1647%9%9%9%9%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 13 sales out of 166 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 13% of listed quantity across 25 postings (HHI 0.074, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 45% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Mystic Rugged Armor Kit Leatherworking 1 2g 34s
Forceful Rugged Armor Kit Leatherworking 1 2g 1s
Elderwild Waistcord Leatherworking 1 –
Outlaw's Collar Leatherworking 2 –
Elderwild Pants Leatherworking 2 –
Eternity Pauldrons Leatherworking 1 –
Tranquil Wristguards Leatherworking 1 –
Mourning Handguards Leatherworking 1 –

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