Rugged Armor Kit
Consumable · Permanent · item 15564 · vendor 10s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 55 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| +10% to +30% | 8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 17 sales out of 63 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 59% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.407, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 5× 
Rugged Leather 16s 77c
Materials 83s 85c → sells for 42s 75c: −41s 10c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Mystic Rugged Armor Kit Leatherworking |
1 | 1g 63s |
| Forceful Rugged Armor Kit Leatherworking |
1 | −81s 56c |
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