Armor · Mail · item 250483 · vendor 12s 67c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 45 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 45 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.142, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 57% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 6×
Silver Bar 3s 10c, 2×
Copper Bar 2s, 2×
Coarse Grinding Stone 1s 5c, 2×
Medium Leather 99c
Materials 26s 68c → sells for 17s 10c: −9s 58c per craft
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