Consumable · Elixirs · item 9206 · vendor 7s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 170 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 170 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 16% of listed quantity across 38 postings (HHI 0.066, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 27% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Alchemy: 1×
Sungrass 10s 64c, 1×
Gromsblood 25s 63c, 1×
Crystal Vial 6s 69c
Materials 42s 96c → sells for 43s 34c: 38c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | −67s 12c |
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