FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Elixir of Greater Strength

Consumable · Elixirs · item 9206 · vendor 7s

no demand model yet
Floor45s 63ccheapest 44s 59c
Median48s 89cby quantity
Listed1,252109 listings
Sold / day10avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1701%1%1%1%1%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 170 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 16% of listed quantity across 38 postings (HHI 0.066, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 27% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Alchemy: 1× Sungrass 10s 64c, 1× Gromsblood 25s 63c, 1× Crystal Vial 6s 69c

Materials 42s 96c → sells for 43s 34c: 38c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Forceful Rugged Armor Kit Leatherworking 2 −67s 12c

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