Trade Goods · Herb · item 8846 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 156 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 157 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 32 postings (HHI 0.087, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 39% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | 27g 39s | |
| 2 | 3g 42s | |
| 3 | 2g 14s | |
| 1 | 1g 93s | |
| 2 | 1g 77s | |
| 3 | 1g 25s | |
| 3 | 97s 45c | |
| 1 | 5s 18c | |
| 1 | 3s 68c | |
| 2 | −21s 59c | |
| 2 | −29s 67c | |
| 2 | −1g 52s | |
| 1 | – | |
| 3 | – |
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