FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Gromsblood

Trade Goods · Herb · item 8846 · vendor 2s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor25s 63ccheapest 25s
Median27s 77cby quantity
Listed1,261164 listings
Sold / day109avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1564%4%4%4%4%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 157 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 32 postings (HHI 0.087, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 39% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Flask of the Titans Alchemy 30 27g 39s
Elixir of Brute Force Alchemy 2 3g 42s
Elixir of Ferocity Alchemy 3 2g 14s
Elixir of the Whale Alchemy 1 1g 93s
Distilled Firewater Alchemy 2 1g 77s
Mighty Rage Potion Alchemy 3 1g 25s
Elixir of the Grizzly Alchemy 3 97s 45c
Elixir of Greater Strength Alchemy 1 5s 18c
Potion of Demon Slaying Alchemy 1 3s 68c
Elixir of Cunning Alchemy 2 −21s 59c
Draught of Detect Demon Alchemy 2 −29s 67c
Potion of Beast Slaying Alchemy 2 −1g 52s
Major Troll's Blood Elixir Alchemy 1 –
Potion of Venomous Blood Alchemy 3 –

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