FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Elixir of Greater Agility

Consumable · Elixirs · item 9187 · vendor 6s

no demand model yet

Floor21s 44ccheapest 21s 43c

Median21s 45cby quantity

Listed64250 listings

Sold / day297avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	63	47%	100%	100%	100%	100%
floor to +10%	7	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 17 sales out of 72 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 35% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.198, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 59% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Alchemy: 1× Sungrass 10s 64c, 1× Goldthorn 3s 90c, 1× Crystal Vial 6s 69c

Materials 21s 23c → sells for 20s 36c: −87c per craft