Arcane Elixir
Consumable · Elixirs · item 9155 · vendor 4s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 48 | 5% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 49 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 29 postings (HHI 0.068, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 30% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Blindweed 9s 71c, 1× 
Goldthorn 4s 8c, 1× 
Crystal Vial 5s
Materials 18s 79c → sells for 15s 48c: −3s 31c per craft
Alerts for this item
Sign in to set alerts.