Heavy Silken Thread
Trade Goods · Cloth · item 8343 · vendor 5s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 26 | 20% | 73% | 73% | 73% | 73% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 27 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 38% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.228, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 44% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Cloudy Gustwoven Spaulders Leatherworking |
1 | 18g 24s |
 Gauntlets of the Sea Leatherworking |
4 | 10g 94s |
 Cloudy Windraveled Cover Leatherworking |
1 | 4g 24s |
 Cloudy Stormsewn Epaulets Tailoring |
1 | 4g 2s |
 Cloudy Stormsewn Cowl Tailoring |
1 | 3g 76s |
 Feathered Breastplate Leatherworking |
4 | 3g 2s |
 Helm of Fire Leatherworking |
4 | 2g 91s |
 Shadoweave Gloves Tailoring |
2 | 2g 15s |
 Dragonscale Gauntlets Leatherworking |
4 | 1g 74s |
 Stormcloth Gloves Tailoring |
2 | 1g 43s |
 Shadoweave Shoulders Tailoring |
2 | 1g 32s |
| Stormcloth Shoulders Tailoring |
3 | 1g 12s |
 Wolfshead Helm Leatherworking |
4 | 96s 10c |
 Mageweave Reagent Bag Tailoring |
2 | 91s 14c |
 Dreamweave Gloves Tailoring |
2 | 90s 40c |
 Tuxedo Jacket Tailoring |
3 | 81s 74c |
 Dreamweave Circlet Tailoring |
3 | 78s 3c |
 Shadoweave Pants Tailoring |
1 | 74s 35c |
 Shadoweave Robe Tailoring |
1 | 73s 54c |
 Admiral's Hat Tailoring |
2 | 57s 11c |
 Tuxedo Shirt Tailoring |
2 | 50s 6c |
 Shadoweave Mask Tailoring |
2 | 49s 85c |
 Turtle Scale Gloves Leatherworking |
1 | 47s 43c |
 Lavender Mageweave Shirt Tailoring |
2 | 37s 9c |
 Simple Black Dress Tailoring |
1 | 33s 47c |
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