Armor · Cloth · item 10019 · vendor 39s 44c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 82 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| floor to +10% | 36 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 129 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 30% of listed quantity across 21 postings (HHI 0.132, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 90s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 90s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 90s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 90s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 91s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 91s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 91s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 91s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 91s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1g 91s | 2g 91s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 4×
Bolt of Mageweave 32s, 4×
Wildvine 97c, 2×
Heart of the Wild 4s 35c, 2×
Heavy Silken Thread 19s 45c
Materials 1g 79s → sells for 2g 69s: 90s 40c per craft
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