Armor · Cloth · item 10041 · vendor 85s 93c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 24 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 6 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 30 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 28% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.136, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 29% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 3g 17s | 4g 50s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 8×
Bolt of Mageweave 32s, 4×
Wildvine 97c, 2×
Heart of the Wild 4s 35c, 3×
Heavy Silken Thread 19s 45c, 1×
Truesilver Bar 14s 55c, 1×
Jade 7s 55c
Materials 3g 49s → sells for 4g 27s: 78s 3c per craft
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