Armor · Mail · item 8187 · vendor 34s 77c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 31 | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 16 sales out of 31 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 15% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.128, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 17% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 6×
Thick Leather 5s 89c, 8×
Turtle Scale 10s 96c, 1×
Heavy Silken Thread 19s 45c
Materials 1g 42s → sells for 1g 89s: 47s 43c per craft
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