FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Turtle Scale

Trade Goods · Leather · item 8167 · vendor 1s

no demand model yet
Floor10s 97ccheapest 10s 95c
Median11s 8cby quantity
Listed3,430213 listings
Sold / day247avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1760%0%0%0%0%
over +30%670%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 243 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 19% of listed quantity across 25 postings (HHI 0.106, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 24% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 89c11s 88c5
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 77c11s 88c8
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 99c11s 88c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 89c11s 88c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 99c11s 88c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 89c11s 88c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 95c11s 88c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 94c11s 88c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 95c11s 88c11
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 95c11s 88c11

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Turtle Scale Gloves Leatherworking 8 47s 29c
Turtle Scale Helm Leatherworking 24 2s 32c
Turtle Scale Breastplate Leatherworking 12 1s 42c
Turtle Scale Bracers Leatherworking 12 −19s 69c
Turtle Scale Leggings Leatherworking 28 −44s 41c
Turtle Scale Breastplate Leatherworking 12 –
Turtle Scale Gloves Leatherworking 8 –

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