Tough Scorpid Shoulders
Armor · Mail · item 8207 · vendor 89s 78c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 8 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 8 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 61% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.42, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 75% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 12× 
Thick Leather 5s 89c, 16× 
Scorpid Scale 14s 45c, 2× 
Heavy Silken Thread 19s 45c
Materials 3g 40s → sells for 2g 18s: −1g 22s per craft
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