Scorpid Scale
Trade Goods · Leather · item 8154 · vendor 2s 50c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 45 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| floor to +10% | 23 | 56% | 56% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| over +30% | 33 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 13 sales out of 101 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 32% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.24, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s 5c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s 4c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 80c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 80c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 79c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 69c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 69c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 65c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 64c | 14s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 9s 80c | 14s 50c | 5 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Tough Scorpid Breastplate Leatherworking |
12 | 1g 29s |
 Tough Scorpid Leggings Leatherworking |
8 | −10s 60c |
 Tough Scorpid Boots Leatherworking |
12 | −50s 20c |
 Tough Scorpid Bracers Leatherworking |
4 | −56s 25c |
 Tough Scorpid Gloves Leatherworking |
8 | −73s 16c |
 Tough Scorpid Helm Leatherworking |
20 | −91s 40c |
 Tough Scorpid Shoulders Leatherworking |
16 | −1g 6s |
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