Trade Goods · Leather · item 8172 · vendor 5s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 57 | 43% | 55% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 17 sales out of 60 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 56% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.373, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 57% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 1×
Thick Hide 5s 36c, 1×
Deeprock Salt 2s 60c
Materials 7s 96c → sells for 9s 59c: 1s 63c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10g 94s | |
| 4 | 3g 2s | |
| 2 | 2g 91s | |
| 2 | 1g 74s | |
| 2 | 96s 10c | |
| 1 | 56s 38c | |
| 1 | 38s 31c | |
| 1 | 32s 23c | |
| 4 | 23s 45c | |
| 2 | 9s 97c | |
| 2 | −11s 54c | |
| 2 | −21s 38c | |
| 1 | −60s 72c | |
| 1 | −82s 16c | |
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