Armor · Leather · item 8213 · vendor 81s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 9 | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| over +30% | 11 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 20 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 25 postings (HHI 0.076, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 40% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1g 9s | 2g 99s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1g 9s | 4g 89s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1g 9s | 14g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1g 9s | 2g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 70s | 3g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 1g 99s | 3g 5s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 1g | 3g 5s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 1g | 3g 5s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 1g | 1g 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 1g | 1g 55s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 14×
Thick Leather 5s 89c, 4×
Wildvine 97c, 2×
Cured Thick Hide 10s 10c
Materials 1g 6s → sells for 95s: −11s 54c per craft
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