FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Wild Leather Boots

Armor · Leather · item 8213 · vendor 81s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor1gcheapest 99s
Median1g 99sby quantity
Listed4646 listings
Sold / day8avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor922%22%22%22%22%
over +30%110%17%17%17%17%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 20 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 25 postings (HHI 0.076, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 40% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 17:491g 9s2g 99s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:491g 9s4g 89s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:491g 9s14g1
Sat 14 Nov 17:491g 9s2g1
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g 70s3g1
Sat 14 Nov 15:491g 99s3g 5s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:491g3g 5s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:491g3g 5s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:491g1g 55s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:491g1g 55s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Leatherworking: 14× Thick Leather 5s 89c, 4× Wildvine 97c, 2× Cured Thick Hide 10s 10c

Materials 1g 6s → sells for 95s: −11s 54c per craft

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