FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Wild Leather Vest

Armor · Leather · item 8211 · vendor 80s 2c

no demand model yet
Floor1g 21scheapest 1g 21s
Median1g 95sby quantity
Listed5555 listings
Sold / day11avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor400%0%0%0%0%
over +30%210%20%20%20%20%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 64 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 30 postings (HHI 0.06, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 35% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g 22s2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g 22s2g 1s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g 22s2g 20s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:491g 22s2g 20s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:491g 22s2g 20s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:491g 22s2g 20s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:491g 22s2g 20s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:491g 22s2g 20s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:491g 22s2g 20s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:491g 22s2g 88s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Leatherworking: 12× Thick Leather 5s 89c, 2× Wildvine 97c, 1× Cured Thick Hide 10s 10c

Materials 82s 72c → sells for 1g 14s: 32s 23c per craft

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