Trade Goods · Elemental · item 7076 · vendor 4s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 34 | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 35 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 29% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.156, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 72% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Alchemy: 1×
Essence of Fire 1g 75s
Materials 1g 75s → sells for 2g 55s: 80s 54c per craft
Alchemy: 1×
Living Essence 55s
Materials 55s → sells for 2g 55s: 2g per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 24g 61s | |
| 3 | 11g 34s | |
| 2 | 8g 71s | |
| 2 | 6g 31s | |
| 1 | 4g 59s | |
| 1 | 4g 25s | |
| 1 | 3g 28s | |
| 1 | 1g 9s | |
| 1 | −2g 16s | |
| 10 | – | |
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| 8 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
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| 2 | – | |
| 8 | – | |
| 5 | – | |
| 6 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 4 | – |
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