FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Essence of Earth

Trade Goods · Elemental · item 7076 · vendor 4s

no demand model yet
Floor2g 68scheapest 2g 68s
Median3g 50sby quantity
Listed8039 listings
Sold / day13avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor3419%19%19%19%19%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 35 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 29% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.156, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 72% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Alchemy: 1× Essence of Fire 1g 75s

Materials 1g 75s → sells for 2g 55s: 80s 54c per craft

Alchemy: 1× Living Essence 55s

Materials 55s → sells for 2g 55s: 2g per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Wisdom of the Timbermaw Tailoring 3 24g 61s
Heavy Timbermaw Belt Leatherworking 3 11g 34s
Thorium Shield Spike Blacksmithing 2 8g 71s
Earthenweave Leggings Tailoring 2 6g 31s
Earthenweave Cuffs Tailoring 1 4g 59s
Earthenweave Gloves Tailoring 1 4g 25s
Earthenweave Mantle Tailoring 1 3g 28s
Transmute: Earth to Water Alchemy 1 1g 9s
Transmute: Earth to Life Alchemy 1 −2g 16s
Stronghold Gauntlets Blacksmithing 10 –
Enchanted Thorium Helm Blacksmithing 6 –
Enchanted Thorium Breastplate Blacksmithing 4 –
Hammer of the Titans Blacksmithing 10 –
Masterwork Stormhammer Blacksmithing 6 –
Alchemist's Stone Alchemy 8 –
Robe of the Archmage Tailoring 8 –
Volcanic Breastplate Leatherworking 1 –
Volcanic Shoulders Leatherworking 1 –
Flawless Arcanite Rifle Engineering 2 –
Biznicks 247x128 Accurascope Engineering 2 –
Force Reactive Disk Engineering 8 –
Mantle of the Timbermaw Tailoring 5 –
Molten Belt Leatherworking 6 –
Heavy Obsidian Belt Blacksmithing 2 –
Jagged Obsidian Shield Blacksmithing 4 –

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