FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Iridescent Hammer

Weapon · Mace · item 5541 · vendor 36s 93c

no demand model yet
Floor68s 96ccheapest 68s 96c
Median72s 99cby quantity
Listed1515 listings
Sold / day9avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2120%40%40%40%40%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 23 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 53% of listed quantity across 4 postings (HHI 0.378, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 57% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Blacksmithing: 10× Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 1× Strong Flux 20s, 1× Iridescent Pearl 8s 9c, 2× Coarse Grinding Stone 1s 5c, 2× Medium Leather 99c

Materials 51s 37c → sells for 65s 51c: 14s 14c per craft

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