Strong Flux
Trade Goods · Other · item 3466 · vendor 5s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| floor to +10% | 14 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 27 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 38% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.237, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 40% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Moonsteel Broadsword Blacksmithing |
2 | 35s 63c |
 Shadow Crescent Axe Blacksmithing |
2 | 25s 21c |
 Solid Iron Maul Blacksmithing |
2 | 24s 3c |
 Massive Iron Axe Blacksmithing |
2 | 22s 91c |
 Heavy Bronze Mace Blacksmithing |
1 | 14s 68c |
 Jade Serpentblade Blacksmithing |
2 | 14s 18c |
 Iridescent Hammer Blacksmithing |
1 | 14s 14c |
 Deadly Bronze Poniard Blacksmithing |
1 | 12s 67c |
| Iron Fists Blacksmithing | 2 | 7s 47c |
| Pearl-handled Dagger Blacksmithing |
1 | 4s 83c |
| Steel Spear Blacksmithing | 2 | 3s 35c |
 Hardened Iron Shortsword Blacksmithing |
2 | 3s 23c |
 Bronze Battle Axe Blacksmithing |
1 | −1s 36c |
| Bronze Greatsword Blacksmithing |
2 | −8s 2c |
| Glinting Steel Dagger Blacksmithing |
2 | −16s 89c |
 Golden Iron Destroyer Blacksmithing |
2 | −21s 20c |
 Bronze Warhammer Blacksmithing |
1 | −21s 44c |
| Mighty Iron Hammer Blacksmithing |
2 | −32s 57c |
 Frost Tiger Blade Blacksmithing |
2 | −61s 4c |
| Moonsteel Broadsword Blacksmithing | 2 | – |
| Iron Morningstar Blacksmithing | 2 | – |
| Mithril Shortsword Blacksmithing | 2 | – |
Alerts for this item
Sign in to set alerts.