FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Guardian Armor

Armor · Leather · item 4256 · vendor 34s 77c

no demand model yet

Floor48s 29ccheapest 48s 28c

Median48s 29cby quantity

Listed4444 listings

Sold / day–avg of last 0 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	34	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 35 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 30% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.21, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 30% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Leatherworking: 2× Cured Heavy Hide 16s 85c, 12× Heavy Leather 2s 34c, 1× Shadow Oil 26s 60c, 2× Fine Thread 94c

Materials 90s 26c → sells for 45s 87c: −44s 39c per craft