Shadow Oil
Consumable · Other · item 3824 · vendor 1s 50c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 66 | 6% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 68 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 26% of listed quantity across 22 postings (HHI 0.147, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 50% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 29s 19c | 40s 40c | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 4× 
Fadeleaf 4s 32c, 4× 
Grave Moss 5s 76c, 1× 
Leaded Vial 50c
Materials 40s 82c → sells for 50s 50c: 9s 68c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Shadow Crescent Axe Blacksmithing |
1 | 24s 24c |
 Dusky Boots Leatherworking |
1 | 10s 87c |
 Shadow Hood Tailoring |
1 | 1s 84c |
 Dusky Leather Armor Leatherworking |
1 | −5s 41c |
 Guardian Armor Leatherworking |
1 | −37s 54c |
| Greater Shadow Protection Potion Alchemy |
1 | – |
Alerts for this item
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