Trade Goods · Other · item 3713 · vendor 40c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 32 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| floor to +10% | 25 | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 14 sales out of 58 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 19% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.123, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 59% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 82s 42c | |
| 4 | 71s 26c | |
| 1 | 40s 39c | |
| 1 | 32s 53c | |
| 4 | 27s 87c | |
| 2 | 23s 50c | |
| 1 | 6s 51c | |
| 4 | 5s 89c | |
| 1 | 5s 66c | |
| 1 | 5s 29c | |
| 1 | 5s 1c | |
| 1 | 4s 69c | |
| 1 | 4s 68c | |
| 3 | 4s 52c | |
| 1 | 3s 36c | |
| 1 | 1s 65c | |
| 1 | 1s 25c | |
| 1 | −85c | |
| 1 | −1s 77c | |
| 1 | −1s 81c | |
| 3 | −5s 18c | |
| 2 | −5s 38c | |
| 1 | −7s 74c | |
| 3 | – | |
| 3 | – |
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