Major Healing Potion
Consumable · Potions · item 13446 · vendor 10s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 136 | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| floor to +10% | 9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 13 sales out of 145 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 18% of listed quantity across 15 postings (HHI 0.106, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 19% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
First Aid: 1× 
Crystal Vial 5s, 3× 
Soothing Spices 2s 8c, 1× 
Golden Sansam 30s 22c
Materials 41s 46c → sells for 45s 98c: 4s 52c per craft
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