FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Golden Sansam

Trade Goods · Herb · item 13464 · vendor 1s

no demand model yet
Floor23s 10ccheapest 21s 73c
Median26s 80cby quantity
Listed3,694572 listings
Sold / day24avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor6860%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 687 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 9% of listed quantity across 87 postings (HHI 0.033, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 32% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Elixir of Nature Power Alchemy 4 1g 38s
Elixir of Wicked Regeneration Alchemy 3 76s 31c
Elixir of the Phalanx Alchemy 2 37s 55c
Major Healing Potion First Aid 1 8s 1c
Major Rejuvenation Potion Alchemy 4 4s 35c
Elixir of Sages Alchemy 2 −59s 20c
Greater Dreamless Sleep Potion Alchemy 1 –
Flask of Natural Accuracy Alchemy 9 –

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