FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.4 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Iron Oven

Consumable · Other · item 279982

no demand model yet

Floor3g 9scheapest 3g 9s

Median3g 9sby quantity

Listed14343 listings

Sold / day43avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	105	18%	100%	100%	100%	100%
over +30%	13	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 16 sales out of 122 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 63% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.456, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 98% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 22:49	98s 98c	3g 9s	2
Sat 14 Nov 22:49	98s 98c	3g 9s	2
Sat 14 Nov 22:49	98s 98c	3g 9s	2
Sat 14 Nov 22:49	98s 98c	4g 89s	1
Sat 14 Nov 22:49	98s 98c	4g 89s	1
Sat 14 Nov 22:49	98s 98c	5g 89s	1
Sat 14 Nov 22:49	98s 98c	5g 89s	1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Cooking: 10× Simple Flour 1s 22c, 5× Refreshing Spring Water 9c, 4× Soothing Spices 2s 4c

Materials 20s 81c → sells for 2g 93s: 2g 72s per craft