Simple Flour
Trade Goods · Cooking · item 10284 · vendor 50c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 24 | 16% | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 24 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 39% of listed quantity across 11 postings (HHI 0.245, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Iron Oven Cooking |
10 | 72s 23c |
 Pincer Bites Cooking |
1 | 35c |
 Skywall Souffle Cooking |
1 | −2s 29c |
| Critter Cookie Cooking | 5 | – |
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