FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Sweetpaw Jam

Consumable · Food & Drink · item 267341 · vendor 2s

no demand model yet
Floor23s 97ccheapest 23s 97c
Median23s 98cby quantity
Listed12938 listings
Sold / day25avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor3715%15%15%15%15%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 38 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 26% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.188, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 26% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:4915s 99c23s 98c4
Sat 14 Nov 14:4915s 99c23s 98c4
Sat 14 Nov 14:4915s 99c23s 98c4
Sat 14 Nov 14:4915s 99c23s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4915s 99c23s 98c4

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Cooking: 3× Hyjal Berries 7s 50c, 1× Soothing Spices 2s 8c

Materials 24s 58c → sells for 22s 77c: −1s 81c per craft

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