Hot Spices
Trade Goods · Other · item 2692 · vendor 10c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| +10% to +30% | 24 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 69 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 100 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 59% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.379, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 55c | 2s 99c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 55c | 2s 99c | 20 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Mightfish Steak Cooking |
1 | 43s 21c |
| Savory Stag Sliders Cooking | 3 | 4s 25c |
 Gooey Spider Cake Cooking |
1 | 3s 97c |
| Superior Poultice First Aid | 1 | 3s 77c |
| Calcified Smoothie Cooking | 3 | 3s 65c |
| Bear Brisket Cooking | 3 | 2s 80c |
| Raptor Rouladen Cooking | 4 | 2s 75c |
| Briny Seafood Stew Cooking | 1 | 2s 42c |
 Barbecued Buzzard Wing Cooking |
1 | 2s 14c |
 Giant Clam Scorcho Cooking |
1 | 2s 1c |
| Mrrggl Smrrthle Cooking | 2 | 1s 96c |
| Raging Raptor Ribs Cooking | 3 | 1s 88c |
 Roast Raptor Cooking |
1 | 1s 20c |
 Greater Healing Potion First Aid |
3 | 87c |
 Hot Wolf Ribs Cooking |
1 | 85c |
 Murloc Fin Soup Cooking |
1 | 48c |
 Curiously Tasty Omelet Cooking |
1 | 6c |
 Goblin Deviled Clams Cooking |
1 | 2c |
 Carrion Surprise Cooking |
1 | 0c |
 Crispy Lizard Tail Cooking |
1 | −2c |
| Big Bear Steak Cooking |
1 | −9c |
| Sagefish Delight Cooking | 1 | −20c |
| Hot Lion Chops Cooking |
1 | −28c |
 Undermine Clam Chowder Cooking |
1 | −95c |
 Healing Potion First Aid |
1 | −1s 2c |
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