FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Hot Wolf Ribs

Consumable · Food & Drink · item 13851 · vendor 3s 12c

no demand model yet
Floor4s 17ccheapest 4s 16c
Median4s 19cby quantity
Listed43618 listings
Sold / day235avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1729%29%29%29%29%
floor to +10%520%20%20%20%20%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 23 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 63% of listed quantity across 11 postings (HHI 0.423, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 68% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Cooking: 1× Red Wolf Meat 2s 80c, 1× Hot Spices 38c

Materials 3s 18c → sells for 3s 96c: 78c per craft

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