Armor · Plate · item 250592 · vendor 1g 41s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 5 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 100% of listed quantity across 1 postings (HHI 1.0, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 18×
Thorium Bar 18s 98c, 1×
Blue Sapphire 5g 34s, 1×
Iron Buckle 1s 25c, 6×
Rugged Leather 16s 91c
Materials 9g 78s → sells for 19g 12s: 9g 33s per craft
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