Hard Gold Bracers
Armor · Mail · item 250535 · vendor 26s 34c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 9 | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 9 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.339, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 36% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 6× 
Gold Bar 9s 29c, 1× 
Steel Bar 8s 14c, 2× 
Heavy Grinding Stone 10s 75c
Materials 85s 38c → sells for 94s 5c: 8s 67c per craft
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