FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Enchanted Mageweave Pouch

Container · Enchanting Bag · item 22246 · vendor 25s

no demand model yet
Floor1g 99scheapest 1g 99s
Median1g 99sby quantity
Listed1717 listings
Sold / day24avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor+10% to +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor170%0%0%0%0%
+10% to +30%70%86%86%86%86%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 26 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 76% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.619, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 76% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 4× Bolt of Mageweave 32s, 4× Vision Dust 10s 12c, 2× Heavy Silken Thread 19s 45c

Materials 2g 7s → sells for 1g 89s: −18s 33c per craft

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