FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Mooncloth Bag

Container · Bag · item 14155 · vendor 2g

no demand model yet

Floor55g 39scheapest 55g 39s

Median55g 39sby quantity

Listed1515 listings

Sold / day5avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	12	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 14 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 33% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.218, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 38% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 4× Bolt of Runecloth 34s 50c, 1× Mooncloth 25g 40s, 1× Rune Thread 48s 99c, 10× Viridian Dye 1g 66s, 2× Magenta Dye 37s 34c, 4× Cerulean Dye 55s 55c

Materials 46g 84s → sells for 52g 62s: 5g 78s per craft