Rune Thread
Trade Goods · Cloth · item 14341 · vendor 12s 50c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 12 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 17 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 60% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.45, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 69% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Red Dragonscale Leggings Leatherworking |
2 | 129g |
 Felcloth Gloves Tailoring |
2 | 115g |
 Hide of the Wild Leatherworking |
8 | 62g 8s |
 Ironfeather Leggings Leatherworking |
4 | 57g 90s |
 Sewing Machine Leatherworking |
1 | 49g 19s |
 Timbermaw Tunic Leatherworking |
10 | 44g 63s |
 Robe of Winter Night Tailoring |
1 | 44g 27s |
 Might of the Timbermaw Leatherworking |
2 | 35g 78s |
 Felcloth Robe Tailoring |
2 | 24g 94s |
 Devilsaur Leggings Leatherworking |
1 | 23g 99s |
 Living Shoulders Leatherworking |
1 | 22g 85s |
 Black Dragonscale Helm Leatherworking |
2 | 20g 42s |
 Heavy Timbermaw Belt Leatherworking |
1 | 10g 77s |
 Earthenweave Vest Tailoring |
1 | 10g 10s |
 Ironfeather Breastplate Leatherworking |
1 | 9g 19s |
 Felcloth Shoulders Tailoring |
2 | 8g 47s |
 Earthenweave Leggings Tailoring |
1 | 6g 21s |
| Warbear Woolies Leatherworking |
1 | 6g 13s |
 Green Dragonscale Gauntlets Leatherworking |
2 | 5g 47s |
 Warbear Harness Leatherworking |
1 | 5g 2s |
 Wizardweave Turban Tailoring |
1 | 4g 99s |
 Wildthorn Mail Leatherworking |
1 | 4g 93s |
 Earthenweave Cuffs Tailoring |
1 | 4g 50s |
 Earthenweave Crown Tailoring |
1 | 4g 47s |
 Heavy Scorpid Boots Leatherworking |
1 | 4g 5s |
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